Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.445181 0.488192 0.534971 0.589877 0.652878 0.723290 0.808477
2025-08-24 0.369049 0.427017 0.495039 0.581788 0.691010 0.826102 1.009312
2025-08-31 0.323039 0.387079 0.466108 0.572829 0.716462 0.908192 1.192917
2025-09-07 0.296711 0.365572 0.454082 0.579424 0.758044 1.013213 1.425586
2025-09-14 0.270300 0.340055 0.432522 0.568379 0.770988 1.076999 1.608611
2025-09-21 0.251981 0.322958 0.419691 0.566690 0.795454 1.159993 1.840734
2025-09-28 0.231932 0.301473 0.398272 0.549261 0.792267 1.196655 1.998869
2025-10-05 0.225615 0.298429 0.402498 0.570304 0.852393 1.349650 2.421809
2025-10-12 0.218350 0.293259 0.402843 0.584868 0.903278 1.495769 2.881947
2025-10-19 0.208720 0.283793 0.395712 0.586215 0.930754 1.602384 3.292667
2025-10-26 0.196723 0.269935 0.380631 0.572562 0.928668 1.648568 3.570479
2025-11-02 0.185545 0.256624 0.365426 0.557163 0.921101 1.681490 3.826361
2025-11-09 0.175920 0.245448 0.353333 0.546933 0.923979 1.742181 4.205655
2025-11-16 0.167354 0.235491 0.342636 0.538377 0.929519 1.811714 4.656757
2025-11-23 0.159625 0.226395 0.332702 0.530210 0.934660 1.881687 5.154013
2025-11-30 0.155113 0.222143 0.330512 0.536124 0.970410 2.037710 6.084368
2025-12-07 0.148210 0.213640 0.320515 0.526198 0.969958 2.098125 6.674988
2025-12-14 0.143241 0.208029 0.315124 0.524679 0.988274 2.215859 7.635121
2025-12-21 0.136359 0.198927 0.303099 0.508999 0.971567 2.227928 8.085056
2025-12-28 0.135347 0.199510 0.308128 0.527928 1.040007 2.518786 10.434107
2026-01-04 0.133466 0.198509 0.310223 0.541013 1.096464 2.793636 13.202862
2026-01-11 0.130010 0.194644 0.306843 0.542222 1.122760 2.975552 15.682538
2026-01-18 0.124940 0.187780 0.297553 0.529957 1.111653 3.018226 17.062725